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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 7 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 7 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Lecce vs Napoli at 58% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 38%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 9%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 72%
BTTS No 63% Napoli Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
0 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#3 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
2 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#4 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#5 League Two Β· England
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#9 Championship Β· England
Watford
2 : 3 FT
Huddersfield
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#10 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#11 League One Β· England
Ipswich
4 : 0 FT
Wycombe
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 League One Β· England
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 League Two Β· England
Newport County
3 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Championship Β· England
Blackpool
1 : 3 FT
Cardiff
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 League Two Β· England
Sutton Utd
0 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
#19 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 Championship Β· England
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 7 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lecce vs Napoli at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.