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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 15 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 April 2022. Sheffield Utd vs Reading sits top on 57% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 63% Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
2 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ AC Milan Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
1 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 41%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#5 League Two Β· England
Barrow
4 : 0 FT
Forest Green
Win 16%
Draw 26%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 League One Β· England
Sunderland
3 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#9 Championship Β· England
Peterborough
2 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
5 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
2 : 0 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 League One Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 2 FT
Bolton
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
0 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 31%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 26%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 3 FT
Morecambe
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#18 Championship Β· England
Derby
2 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 1 FT
Blackpool
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 15 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Utd vs Reading at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.