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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 8 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 8 January 2022. Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo sits top on 54% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 18%
Draw 34%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 67% Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
1 : 1 FT
Abha
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% Al Shabab Clean Sheet 53%
#3 League Two · England
Stevenage
3 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 62%
#4 League Two · England
Tranmere
4 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
✓ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 23%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 League One · England
Gillingham
0 : 4 FT
Ipswich
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 24%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 3 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 15%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#11 League One · England
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 31%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
0 : 1 FT
Sochaux
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
3 : 0 FT
Quevilly
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 56%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
4 : 0 FT
Rodez
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#19 League Two · England
Northampton
0 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
#20 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
0 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 8 January 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.