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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 3 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Monday 3 January 2022. Cadiz vs Sevilla led the list at 54% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 22%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 17%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Sevilla Clean Sheet 54%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
1 : 3 FT
Athletic Club
Win 27%
Draw 39%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 70%
#3 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#4 Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#5 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 34%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 League One Β· England
Cambridge United
0 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
0 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Zall
1 : 2 FT
Chongqing Lifan
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Tondela
2 : 1 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 57%
#10 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
4 : 1 FT
Qingdao Huanghai
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
5 : 0 FT
Levante
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%
#12 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 12 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 3 January 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Cadiz vs Sevilla at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.