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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 2 January 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 2 January 2022. Morecambe vs Doncaster sits top on 45% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 24%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Morecambe
4 : 3 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#2 Championship · England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
✓ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
2 : 0 FT
Belenenses
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#5 League One · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 31%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Premier League · England
Brentford
2 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
✓ Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#8 Championship · England
Bristol City
3 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 0 FT
Real Madrid
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#11 Premier League · England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
0 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
#13 Premier League · England
Everton
2 : 3 FT
Brighton
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Elche
0 : 0 FT
Granada CF
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Championship · England
Birmingham
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Premier League · England
Chelsea
2 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 2 January 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Morecambe vs Doncaster at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.