Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 4 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 4 September 2021. Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury led the list at 52% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies eight of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 57%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#3 League Two · England
Port Vale
2 : 3 FT
Rochdale
Win 25%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 59%
#4 League Two · England
Stevenage
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 25%
Draw 36%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
#5 League Two · England
Northampton
2 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 33%
Draw 38%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 60%
#7 League Two · England
Oldham
0 : 3 FT
Barrow
Win 30%
Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour
0 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 League Two · England
Newport County
2 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 31%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
#10 League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
Win 30%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
3 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangmai United
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
#14 K League 1 · South-Korea
Seongnam FC
0 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 3 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 25%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#16 League Two · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
✓ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
3 : 1 FT
Oxford United
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 53%
#18 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 0 FT
Suphanburi
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 2 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 29%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
3 : 3 FT
Akropolis
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 4 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury at 52% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.