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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 5 September 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Mariehamn vs KuPS at 51% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 21%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Thai League 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 11%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 69%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
3 : 3 FT
Police Tero
Win 18%
Draw 38%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#3 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
3 : 4 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 22%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#4 Canadian Premier League · Canada
FC Edmonton
1 : 2 FT
Pacific FC
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#5 Superettan · Sweden
Norrby IF
0 : 0 FT
Vasalund
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 0 FT
Sport Recife
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 1 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United
2 : 2 FT
Pattaya United
Win 20%
Draw 34%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Serie A · Brazil
Bahia
4 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
2 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 59%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
4 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
3 : 0 FT
Telstar
✓ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 5 September 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Mariehamn vs KuPS at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.