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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 7 August 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 7 August 2021. IFK Varnamo vs AFC Eskilstuna led the list at 56% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 39%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
AFC Eskilstuna
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 67% IFK Varnamo Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Kooteepee
0 : 1 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 14%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Premier League · Russia
Zenit
3 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
BTTS No 57%
#4 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 2 FT
FC Edmonton
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 21%
Draw 41%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 64%
#7 Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 3 FT
York United
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 63%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%
#9 Premier League · Russia
Arsenal Tula
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
BTTS No 56%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
Guingamp
Win 17%
Draw 36%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 15%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 15%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 54%
Under 2.5 56%
#13 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 26%
Draw 40%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 3 FT
Nimes
Win 24%
Draw 39%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
1 : 2 FT
Niort
Win 26%
Draw 40%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 58%
#19 Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57%
#20 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 3 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 26%
Draw 39%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 7 August 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by IFK Varnamo vs AFC Eskilstuna at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.