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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 10 April 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Saturday 10 April 2021. Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig led the list at 46% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 23%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 4 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 15%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 61%
BTTS No 54%
#2 Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola
0 : 2 FT
D. Melipilla
Win 48%
Draw 35%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Finn Harps
2 : 1 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Longford Town
0 : 4 FT
Drogheda United
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
Win 29%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
3 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 K League 1 · South-Korea
Seongnam FC
2 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 2 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 37%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60%
#10 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
1 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 : 3 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 17 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 10 April 2021?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.