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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 27 September 2020

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 September 2020. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga at 38% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 38% down to 16%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 0 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
3 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 60%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 30%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stabaek
2 : 0 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Mjondalen
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 2 FT
Rosenborg
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
4 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
4 : 4 FT
ODD Ballklubb
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
Brann
Win 54%
Draw 19%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 2 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 27 September 2020?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga at 38% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.