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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 14 May 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 14 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Arsenal vs Brighton at 68% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 47%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England 68%
Arsenal
0 : 3 FT
Brighton
Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany 58%
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria 54%
Sturm Graz
4 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France 54%
Rennes
4 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil 53%
Goias
2 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Championship Β· England 51%
Coventry
0 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 51%
Union St. Gilloise
3 : 0 FT
Genk
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France 51%
Monaco
0 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea 50%
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Super League Β· China 50%
Qingdao Jonoon
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden 50%
IF Elfsborg
2 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy 50%
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 49%
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland 49%
BSC Young Boys
1 : 1 FT
FC Zurich
Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France 49%
Marseille
3 : 1 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 49%
Feyenoord
3 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 48%
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 1 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France 48%
Montpellier
1 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Premier League Β· England 47%
Brentford
2 : 0 FT
West Ham
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain 47%
Valladolid
0 : 3 FT
Sevilla
Win 31%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 14 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arsenal vs Brighton at 68% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.