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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 3 March 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 3 March 2023. MVV vs VVV Venlo led the list at 64% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 39%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 64%
MVV
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany 63%
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia 58%
Fakel
1 : 1 FT
Khimki
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 56%
PEC Zwolle
13 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 53%
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile 52%
Nublense
1 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 50%
SC Paderborn 07
1 : 2 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 46%
Lommel United
1 : 0 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 46%
RSC Anderlecht II
1 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 44%
Vitesse
0 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 44%
Alanyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile 44%
Coquimbo Unido
3 : 1 FT
A. Italiano
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 44%
Al-Dhafra
0 : 2 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland 43%
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy 43%
Napoli
0 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 41%
Sharjah FC
2 : 3 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#17 Primera División Β· Chile 41%
Palestino
2 : 1 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland 40%
Dundalk
5 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 18 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 3 March 2023?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by MVV vs VVV Venlo at 64% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.