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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 11 December 2022

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 December 2022. Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht sits top on 59% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 59%
Jong Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 59%
Roda
1 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 55%
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Championship Β· England 51%
Watford
0 : 0 FT
Hull City
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy 49%
Sudtirol
0 : 0 FT
Ternana
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 49%
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Championship Β· England 48%
QPR
0 : 3 FT
Burnley
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 45%
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy 45%
Spal
1 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 43%
Almere City FC
4 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 42%
RWDM
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy 41%
Bari
4 : 1 FT
Modena
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 41%
De Graafschap
1 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%

Showing top 13 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Sunday 11 December 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs Jong Utrecht at 59% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.