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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Wednesday 22 December 2021

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 22 December 2021. Empoli vs AC Milan sits top on 65% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy 65%
Empoli
2 : 4 FT
AC Milan
Win 23%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain 59%
Granada CF
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 58%
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 55%
Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy 55%
Venezia
1 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 54%
Gaziantep FK
2 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France 50%
Bordeaux
2 : 3 FT
Lille
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Super League Β· China 50%
Beijing Guoan
2 : 2 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 49%
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France 48%
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Lens
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Super League Β· China 47%
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
0 : 0 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 47%
Hatayspor
1 : 3 FT
Konyaspor
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France 47%
Monaco
2 : 1 FT
Rennes
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France 47%
Saint Etienne
0 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain 47%
Athletic Club
1 : 2 FT
Real Madrid
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 46%
Ajax
5 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 75%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy 46%
Sassuolo
0 : 3 FT
Bologna
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Super League Β· China 45%
Shandong Luneng
2 : 1 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France 43%
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy 42%
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Wednesday 22 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Empoli vs AC Milan at 65% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.