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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Saturday 11 December 2021

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 11 December 2021. Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC sits top on 60% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 48%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece 60%
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 League One Β· England 57%
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 League Two Β· England 56%
Newport County
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany 56%
SC Freiburg
1 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany 55%
RB Leipzig
4 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy 54%
Spal
0 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 54%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece 53%
PAS Giannina
3 : 2 FT
Volos NFC
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 52%
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 1 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland 52%
Lausanne
1 : 3 FT
FC Zurich
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic 52%
Pardubice
0 : 3 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Austria 51%
TSV Hartberg
2 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy 50%
Udinese
1 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Championship Β· England 50%
Luton
1 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 League One Β· England 49%
Accrington ST
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 49%
AS Eupen
1 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria 48%
Red Bull Salzburg
5 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 League One Β· England 48%
Portsmouth
2 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 League One Β· England 48%
Fleetwood Town
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 48%
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Saturday 11 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens FC at 60% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.