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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 23 April 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 23 April 2027. Nantes vs Montpellier sits top on 51% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
: 18:00
Montpellier
Win 20%
Draw 30%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 57%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
: 18:00
Reims
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 18:00
Jong AZ
Win 37%
Draw 18%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 90% BTTS Yes 87%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
: 18:00
Heracles
Win 39%
Draw 19%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 82%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
: 18:00
Rodez
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 18:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 38%
Draw 21%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
: 18:00
Laval
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
: 18:00
VVV Venlo
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
: 18:00
PAU
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
: 18:00
Dunkerque
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
: 18:00
Annecy
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Krakow
: 16:00
Lech Poznan
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Motor Lublin
: 16:00
Cracovia Krakow
Win 32%
Draw 37%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
: 18:00
NAC Breda
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 23 April 2027?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nantes vs Montpellier at 51% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.