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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 26 February 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten matches clear our threshold on Friday 26 February 2027. NAC Breda vs Vitesse tops the list at 66% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
: 19:00
Vitesse
Win 17%
Draw 17%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Nantes
: 19:00
PAU
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
: 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 37%
Draw 22%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
: 19:00
Nancy
Win 26%
Draw 35%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
: 19:00
Reims
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 58%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 19:00
Emmen
Win 42%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
: 19:00
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
: 19:00
MVV
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
FC OSS
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
: 19:00
Dunkerque
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 60%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 26 February 2027?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by NAC Breda vs Vitesse at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.