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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 19 February 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve fixtures clear the bar on Friday 19 February 2027. Metz vs Montpellier sits top on 62% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies six of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
– : – 19:00
Montpellier
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
– : – 19:00
Dijon
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
– : – 19:00
Annecy
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
– : – 19:00
Rodez
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
– : – 19:00
Nancy
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
– : – 19:00
De Graafschap
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
– : – 19:00
Heracles
Win 37%
Draw 20%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
– : – 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
– : – 19:00
Roda
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
#10 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chonburi FC
– : – 12:00
Sisaket United
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
– : – 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 44%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
– : – 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 19 February 2027?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Metz vs Montpellier at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.