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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 5 February 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten matches clear our threshold on Friday 5 February 2027. Dordrecht vs MVV tops the list at 48% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies seven of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
: 19:00
MVV
Win 31%
Draw 21%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
: 19:00
PAU
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
: 19:00
Montpellier
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 58%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
: 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
: 19:00
Dijon
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
: 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 43%
Draw 21%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 73%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
: 19:00
Clermont Foot
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
: 19:00
Dunkerque
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
: 19:00
Annecy
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
: 19:00
Jong PSV U21
Win 50%
Draw 20%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 5 February 2027?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs MVV at 48% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.