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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 20 September 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 20 September 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise at 69% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 15%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Como
Win 18%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 4 FT
FC Lugano
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 15%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 2 FT
Ljungskile SK
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 15%
Draw 33%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
2 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
2 : 2 FT
Rizespor
Win 24%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 5 FT
BK Hacken
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
3 : 3 FT
Lask Linz
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
0 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 30%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
2 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 21%
Draw 32%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 57%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 1 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Vaduz
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 40%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 93% ✓ BTTS Yes 89%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 3 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 31%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 20 September 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise at 69% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.