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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 19 May 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Tuesday 19 May 2026. Chelsea vs Tottenham led the list at 41% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 41% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 34%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#6 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
2 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rouen
1 : 1 FT
Laval
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 3 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 19 May 2026?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Chelsea vs Tottenham at 41% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.