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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 8 March 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 8 March 2026. Lokeren-Temse vs SK Beveren led the list at 64% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 36%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
1 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 17%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 0 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Preußen Münster
1 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
1 : 2 FT
Pardubice
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Championship · England
QPR
0 : 4 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 31%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estrela
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
3 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
3 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
0 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
0 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
2 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
2 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Super League · China
Wuhan Three Towns
0 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 38%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 38%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Pescara
4 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 34%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Premier League · Russia
Rubin
2 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#18 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 4 FT
Twente
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#20 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 2 FT
FC Thun
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 8 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Lokeren-Temse vs SK Beveren at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.