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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 2 January 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Friday 2 January 2026. Baniyas SC vs Al Nasr sits top on 60% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
1 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
2 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 34%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 1 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 2 January 2026?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Baniyas SC vs Al Nasr at 60% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.