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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 17 October 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 17 October 2025. Olympic Charleroi vs AS Eupen led the list at 74% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
AS Eupen
Win 9%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 74%
Over 2.5 60%
#2 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Boulogne
2 : 2 FT
Guingamp
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
SK Poltava
1 : 2 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#5 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 23%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#6 Super League · China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 2 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 48%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 34%
Draw 20%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#9 Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
3 : 4 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 32%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Oviedo
0 : 2 FT
Espanyol
Win 25%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
6 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 33%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 0 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 35%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
2 : 0 FT
Bohemians
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#19 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
0 : 3 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 34%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
0 : 4 FT
Vitesse
Win 41%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 17 October 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs AS Eupen at 74% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.