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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 24 August 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 August 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors at 58% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
3 : 1 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
#2 Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
2 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
0 : 2 FT
Baltika
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
#4 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
3 : 1 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
#5 Veikkausliiga · Finland
FF Jaro
1 : 3 FT
KuPS
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 53%
#6 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Oviedo
0 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 27%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 48%
#9 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
0 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
3 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Kanchanaburi
3 : 3 FT
Bangkok United
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 1 FT
Mirassol
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
1 : 3 FT
Botafogo
Win 24%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
1 : 2 FT
Lens
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Lorient
4 : 0 FT
Rennes
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
2 : 3 FT
Valerenga
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 6 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
#18 K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Anyang
3 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#20 Serie A · Italy
Como
2 : 0 FT
Lazio
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 24 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pohang Steelers vs Jeonbuk Motors at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.