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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 1 March 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 1 March 2025. České Budějovice vs Baník Ostrava sits top on 59% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
0 : 4 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
3 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 23%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Championship · England
Oxford United
2 : 3 FT
Coventry
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
#6 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 3 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 24%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 24%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Bundesliga · Austria
Grazer AK
1 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 20%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Uthai Thani
0 : 0 FT
Buriram United
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
2 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 59%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 25%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 46%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 3 FT
Nice
Win 29%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
1 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
0 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
#15 Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
4 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
2 : 1 FT
Mantova
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
2 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 1 March 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by České Budějovice vs Baník Ostrava at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.