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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 28 July 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 28 July 2024. The strongest reading belongs to EIF vs KuPS at 64% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
EIF
1 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 0 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 18%
Draw 19%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
2 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 32%
Draw 22%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 0 FT
Molde
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
2 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
1 : 3 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 27%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 61%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
2 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 32%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 34%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
4 : 2 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
4 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#12 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
2 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
4 : 3 FT
Haugesund
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
3 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
4 : 0 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 0 FT
Shandong Luneng
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
0 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 28 July 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by EIF vs KuPS at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.