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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 23 February 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 23 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to LNZ Cherkasy vs Kryvbas KR at 49% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 46%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 3 FT
Kryvbas KR
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 55%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
1 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 25%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 4 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#13 Championship Β· England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 13 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 23 February 2024?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by LNZ Cherkasy vs Kryvbas KR at 49% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.