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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 16 February 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 16 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Club Brugge II vs Zulte Waregem at 58% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
3 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 24%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
0 : 4 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 26%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
0 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 16 February 2024?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Club Brugge II vs Zulte Waregem at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.