SCR Altach 0-2 Rapid Vienna – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Rapid Vienna at 51% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Match Analysis
SCR Altach host Rapid Vienna at CASHPOINT Arena in Bundesliga, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is scheduled for Sunday 5 November 2023 at 13:30 UTC.
Form Guide
SCR Altach — All Games: 3W 4D 3L from 10 Bundesliga outings this season, averaging 1.30 points per game. Last five: W D L D L. They are averaging 0.90 goals per game and conceding 0.90 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, SCR Altach have posted 3W 3D 4L at CASHPOINT Arena — 1.20 PPG. At home they are averaging 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
Looking at all fixtures this season, Rapid Vienna stand at 2W 5D 3L from 10 Bundesliga matches — 1.10 PPG. Last five: D D W L D. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.00 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Rapid Vienna, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, Rapid Vienna have posted 2W 2D 6L from 10 away outings — 0.80 PPG. Away from home they average 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
There is minimal separation in the form figures — SCR Altach at 1.30 PPG versus Rapid Vienna's 1.10. The form guide is not providing a strong directional steer; the model and market data will carry more weight in the final assessment.
H2H
Despite the anticipated home advantage, Rapid Vienna have the better historical record — 4 wins from 4 previous contests against 0 for SCR Altach.
The 4 previous meetings have averaged 2.2 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 5 Aug 2023, ended 0–4 with Rapid Vienna winning.
It is worth noting that Rapid Vienna have a superior record in this fixture despite their visitor status — 4 wins from 4 meetings. Home advantage alone is not a sufficient reason to dismiss that track record.
In-Play Profile
SCR Altach in-play tendencies (44 games, 21 at home): they score before half-time in 62% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 71% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 38% of games (home games); they fail to score in 41% of games.
Rapid Vienna in-play tendencies (44 games, 21 at away): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 89% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 57% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 39%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 48% versus Rapid Vienna 61%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 48% | Rapid Vienna 57%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 0.83 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.48 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.852 / defence 0.863 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.285 / defence 0.800. League average goals — home 1.223 / away 1.331. Rapid Vienna have an above-average attack strength of 1.285 — the away xG of 1.48 is driven by genuine attacking quality on the road. Data: 34 SCR Altach games / 34 Rapid Vienna games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 20% | Draw 29% | Rapid Vienna 51%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 5.00 | Draw 3.45 | Rapid Vienna 1.96. Rapid Vienna hold a narrow Poisson edge at 51% — the draw (29%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 41% | BTTS probability 45% | Total xG 2.31. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 59% — total xG of 2.31 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 45% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is Rapid Vienna at 51% — moderate model lean. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Rapid Vienna offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 2.31 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 41% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 45% on No. Form rates are neutral: SCR Altach 40% | Rapid Vienna 60%.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna | Competition: Bundesliga, Regular Season - 13 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 5 Nov 2023, 13:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 20% | Draw 29% | Rapid Vienna 51% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 41% | BTTS 45% | xG SCR Altach 0.83 / Rapid Vienna 1.48 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.852 / def 0.863 | Rapid Vienna attack 1.285 / def 0.800 | league avg home 1.223 / away 1.331 • Poisson stance: Rapid Vienna (51%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
0.83
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.48
Rapid Vienna xG
45%
BTTS
68%
Over 1.5
41%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna kick off?
SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna kicked off at 13:30 on Sunday 5 November 2023 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
SCR Altach 0 - 2 Rapid Vienna.
Where is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna part of?
SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna is a Regular Season - 13 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 20% chance of winning, Rapid Vienna a 51% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Rapid Vienna the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our model estimates a 45% probability that both SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 41%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
Record (4 meetings): SCR Altach 0W | Draws 0 | Rapid Vienna 4W.
What form are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 3W-4D-3L in 10 | 1.30 PPG | GF 0.90 / GA 0.90 | L5 W-D-L-D-L. Rapid Vienna (all comps): 2W-5D-3L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 1.40 | L5 D-D-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from SCR Altach's attack rating (0.85) and Rapid Vienna's defence rating (0.80), the model arrives at 0.83 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, Rapid Vienna's attack versus SCR Altach's defence, projects 1.48 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 34/34 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.8%. Close behind: 0-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (11.5%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Rapid Vienna Win
20%
5.00
29%
3.46
51%
1.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
0 – 2
10.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.83
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.31
1.48
Rapid Vienna xG
5.00
20%
Home win
3.46
29%
Draw
1.96
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
23%
4.37
43%
2.30
Win to Nil
5%
21.84
22%
4.51
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9 | 14.7 | 10.8 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 12.2 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.8%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna expected to score?
The model projects 0.83 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.48 for Rapid Vienna, a combined total of 2.31.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 51%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Form at a Glance
SCR Altach come into this having played 44 games, going 9W 14D 21L for 0.93 points per game. Their last five reads W-D-L-D-L. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, Rapid Vienna sit at 1.30 PPG from 44 outings (15W 12D 17L), a run that reads D-D-W-L-D across their last five. The sample for Rapid Vienna is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Form-wise this is close to level: SCR Altach on 0.93 PPG, Rapid Vienna on 1.30. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Venue Form
SCR Altach's home form reads 5W 6D 10L across 21 games on their own ground, a 1.00 PPG return.
Away from home, Rapid Vienna have taken 1.19 points per game from 21 outings (7W 4D 10L).
Goals in Recent Form
SCR Altach are averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game recently; Rapid Vienna are on 1.70 scored and 1.41 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Rapid Vienna in 61%.
Last 44 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
Rapid Vienna
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 9W 14D 21L in their last 44 games (0.93 PPG), while Rapid Vienna have gone 15W 12D 17L in their last 44 (1.30 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or Rapid Vienna away?
Rapid Vienna's away record (1.19 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 1.00 PPG; Rapid Vienna away: 1.19 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
Fixture History
10 meetings separate these sides on the data we hold, the series stretching back to November 2021. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 2 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Streaks & Records
The biggest gap between the sides came on 1 Mar 2025, when Rapid Vienna won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
SCR Altach's record when hosting Rapid Vienna specifically: 0W 1D 3L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
0
SCR Altach
2
Draws
8
Rapid Vienna
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 0, Rapid Vienna have won 8, and 2 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna last play each other?
They last met on 2 August 2026, when Rapid Vienna 1-0 SCR Altach.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
First-Half Patterns
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 62% of their matches.
Rapid Vienna are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time.
Full-Time Trends
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 52%, Rapid Vienna 52% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 38% (SCR Altach) and 57% (Rapid Vienna).
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 33% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / Rapid Vienna away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play Rapid Vienna?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 52% of SCR Altach's recent matches and 52% of Rapid Vienna's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is SCR Altach vs Rapid Vienna usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 38% of SCR Altach's recent games and 57% of Rapid Vienna's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 62% of their recent matches, Rapid Vienna in 76% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Rapid Vienna cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over SCR Altach.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Rapid Vienna beat SCR Altach 0-2 at CASHPOINT Arena, Regular Season - 13, in the Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 0.83 xG and Rapid Vienna 1.48 xG, a combined 2.31. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. SCR Altach fell 0.8 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.85 / defence 0.86 against Rapid Vienna attack 1.28 / defence 0.80, drawn from 34/34 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 20% | Draw 29% | Rapid Vienna 51%, with Rapid Vienna to win its most likely call at 51%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 68% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 45% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 48%, Rapid Vienna 57%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 55%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (44 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 48% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 41% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Rapid Vienna's trading profile (44 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 61% of their matches — today it did not.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — SCR Altach 0.93 PPG, Rapid Vienna 1.30 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Rapid Vienna win broke the near-deadlock. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.90 scoring average — below par going forward. Rapid Vienna (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.