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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 30 October 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 30 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers at 48% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
2 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
0 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
0 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 31%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Championship Β· England
Coventry
0 : 2 FT
West Brom
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
0 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 34%
Draw 36%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 30 October 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers at 48% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.