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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 26 May 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 26 May 2023. Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers sits top on 68% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
1 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 21%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 54%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
0 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
1 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 21%
Draw 37%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 3 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
1 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
2 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
#10 Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
1 : 0 FT
KuPS
Win 23%
Draw 43%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 3 FT
PAU
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#13 Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 0 FT
Gais
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 0 FT
Reggina
✓ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 26 May 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.