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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 19 March 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 March 2023. Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus led the list at 66% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 10%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 14%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 62%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
0 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 21%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 5 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
0 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
0 : 4 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Bangkok United
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Magallanes
1 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Miedz Legnica
0 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 22%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
4 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
2 : 2 FT
Lask Linz
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
4 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 5 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 27%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Bari
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
1 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 35%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 19 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Volos NFC vs Olympiakos Piraeus at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.