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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 29 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 29 January 2023. Standard Liège II vs SK Beveren sits top on 73% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 36%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 11%
Draw 15%
Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 1 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 20%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
0 : 2 FT
Montpellier
Win 26%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
2 : 4 FT
Kayserispor
Win 30%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 4 FT
Ajax
Win 25%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
1 : 2 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 34%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
0 : 0 FT
Nantes
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#13 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
3 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
5 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 2 FT
RWDM
Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
0 : 0 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 29 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Standard Liège II vs SK Beveren at 73% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.