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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 13 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Friday 13 January 2023. Annecy vs Paris FC sits top on 47% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 17%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Paris FC
Win 20%
Draw 33%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69% Paris FC Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
2 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
2 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
3 : 1 FT
Rodez
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
4 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
2 : 4 FT
Grenoble
Win 30%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#12 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Leeds
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 13 January 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Annecy vs Paris FC at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.