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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 30 October 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 30 October 2022. İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe sits top on 77% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey
İstanbulspor
2 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 8%
Draw 15%
✓ Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#2 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 11%
Draw 18%
✓ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 69%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
1 : 4 FT
Molde
Win 17%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 61%
#5 Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 23%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 58%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 70%
#7 Bundesliga · Austria
Lask Linz
4 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 24%
Draw 20%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 20%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 56%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Metal Kharkiv
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 1 FT
Zenit
Win 19%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 54%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Empoli
0 : 2 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
3 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
#14 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
Gent
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Torino
2 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 21%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#16 Superettan · Sweden
Dalkurd FF
5 : 2 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 58%
#17 Primera División · Chile
D. La Serena
2 : 1 FT
Union La Calera
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
0 : 4 FT
BK Hacken
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 30 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe at 77% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.