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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 29 October 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 29 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid at 64% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 44%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
3 : 2 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 63% Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
3 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 17%
Draw 19%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#3 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
3 : 3 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg
2 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 16%
Draw 26%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#5 Serie B · Italy
Venezia
0 : 2 FT
Ascoli
Win 19%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#6 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
2 : 3 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 23%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Super League · China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 4 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 53%
BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
0 : 3 FT
Plzen
Win 19%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
1 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
Win 20%
Draw 29%
Win 51%
#11 League Two · England
Hartlepool
2 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 21%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Valencia
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 28%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 49%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Championship · England
Wigan
0 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 26%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#14 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa
0 : 2 FT
Forge
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#15 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Sporting CP
Win 30%
Draw 22%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#16 League One · England
Cheltenham
0 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#19 League One · England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#20 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 30%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 29 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cadiz vs Atletico Madrid at 64% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.