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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Monday 24 October 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Monday 24 October 2022. Levadiakos vs AEK Athens FC sits top on 53% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 17%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 25%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Super League · China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
2 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 23%
Draw 34%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 70%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Super League · China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 32%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Sirius
0 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Super League · China
Henan Jianye
3 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Premier League · Russia
Ural
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
4 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
6 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
2 : 1 FT
Cagliari
✓ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#16 Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 32%
✓ Draw 36%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#17 Superettan · Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
2 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
✓ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#18 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 24 October 2022?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Levadiakos vs AEK Athens FC at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.