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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 28 August 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 28 August 2022. FC Volendam vs Twente led the list at 61% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Torpedo Moskva
1 : 4 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Villarreal
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 20%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
1 : 3 FT
Real Madrid
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 55%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
3 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
0 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 5 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 18%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
1 : 6 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 28%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 1 FT
Colo Colo
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
1 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
3 : 4 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
1 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 6 FT
SC Braga
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
0 : 4 FT
Zenit
Win 23%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 0 FT
Napoli
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#20 Serie A Β· Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 28 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Twente at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.