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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 8 April 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 8 April 2022. Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers sits top on 62% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 11%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 62%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 65% Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 23%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
3 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
2 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
3 : 1 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#9 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
6 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 8 April 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.