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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 10 April 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 10 April 2022. Vitória SC vs FC Porto led the list at 60% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 44%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 18%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 60%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
2 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 57%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Levante
2 : 3 FT
Barcelona
Win 23%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 2 FT
Genk
Win 23%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 53%
#5 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
2 : 3 FT
Anderlecht
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 0 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 25%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Premier League · England
Norwich
2 : 0 FT
Burnley
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
3 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
#13 Primera División · Chile
Palestino
1 : 1 FT
Nublense
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Helsingborg
0 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 29%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Venezia
1 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 26%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 2 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
AC Milan
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Genoa
1 : 4 FT
Lazio
Win 22%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#20 Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 35%
Draw 21%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 10 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Vitória SC vs FC Porto at 60% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.