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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 19 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 February 2022. Salernitana vs AC Milan led the list at 77% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
2 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 7%
Draw 16%
Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 League One · England
Gillingham
0 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 11%
Draw 15%
✓ Win 74%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 10%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 71%
✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 14%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 62%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 13%
Draw 25%
Win 62%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
1 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 League One · England
Doncaster
1 : 3 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 19%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
2 : 0 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
0 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 27%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 0 FT
RWDM
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
3 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 3 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
#16 League Two · England
Carlisle
0 : 3 FT
Swindon Town
Win 25%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 59%
#17 Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
0 : 0 FT
OFI
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
1 : 0 FT
Slovácko
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
#20 Bundesliga · Austria
Admira Wacker
0 : 3 FT
Lask Linz
Win 31%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 19 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Salernitana vs AC Milan at 77% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.