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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 6 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 6 February 2022. Arouca vs FC Porto sits top on 79% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 7%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 79%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
3 : 3 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 16%
Draw 18%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
4 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
0 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 12%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
0 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 15%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 60%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 0 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Ionikos
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
Empoli
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 3 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
Win 30%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangmai United
2 : 0 FT
Pattaya United
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
3 : 3 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 57%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
1 : 3 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 5 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 56%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
2 : 0 FT
Lens
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
2 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#19 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
2 : 4 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 58%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 4 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 6 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Arouca vs FC Porto at 79% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.