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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 2 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Wednesday 2 February 2022. Belenenses vs Sporting CP sits top on 71% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies four of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Belenenses
1 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 11%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Apollon Smirnis
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 14%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangmai United
1 : 2 FT
Suphanburi
Win 26%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Championship Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 2 FT
Buriram United
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
3 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 1 FT
Ionikos
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 2 February 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Belenenses vs Sporting CP at 71% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.