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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Tuesday 1 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 1 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Port Vale vs Forest Green at 59% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Port Vale
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 16%
Draw 25%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 League One · England
Doncaster
0 : 5 FT
Rotherham
Win 15%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 53%
Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Rotherham Clean Sheet 60%
#3 League One · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Crewe
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
#4 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#5 League One · England
Wigan
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#7 Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 League Two · England
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
6 : 1 FT
Nancy
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Auxerre
1 : 2 FT
Paris FC
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 0 FT
Preston
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 1 February 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Port Vale vs Forest Green at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.