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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 10 July 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 10 July 2021. Longford Town vs Drogheda United sits top on 63% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the away win market — 17%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Longford Town
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 63%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Rosenborg
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 2 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Molde
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
0 : 0 FT
Internacional
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 22%
Draw 41%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 85% BTTS No 77% Fluminense Clean Sheet 59%
#9 Canadian Premier League · Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Edmonton
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
Mjondalen
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 10 July 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Longford Town vs Drogheda United at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.