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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 10 April 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 10 April 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig at 61% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 4 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 15%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 61%
BTTS No 54%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Bodo/Glimt
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#5 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orebro SK
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
ODD Ballklubb
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 : 3 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Finn Harps
2 : 1 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Longford Town
0 : 4 FT
Drogheda United
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Seongnam FC
2 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 31%
Draw 38%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
Win 29%
Draw 40%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 3 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 10 April 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.