🧊

Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Friday 5 May 2023

Tue 2 Wed 3 Thu 4 Fri 5 Sat 6 Sun 7 Mon 8

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 5 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to VPS vs Mariehamn at 76% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Veikkausliiga supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Finland 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 63%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 72%

Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Serie B · Italy 71%

Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 57%

Superettan · Sweden 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 62%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Veikkausliiga · Finland 60%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

#11

Super League · China 58%

#12

Premier Division · Ireland 58%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#13

K League 1 · South-Korea 58%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands 57%

Showing top 14 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Friday 5 May 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by VPS vs Mariehamn at 76% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.