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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 14 August 2022

Thu 11 Fri 12 Sat 13 Sun 14 Mon 15 Tue 16 Wed 17

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 14 August 2022. Skövde AIK vs Ostersunds FK sits top on 74% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the under 2.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Sweden 74%

Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 68% Skövde AIK Clean Sheet 54%

K League 1 · South-Korea 73%

Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%

Serie A · Brazil 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Serie A · Brazil 71%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%

Championship · England 68%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%

Primera División · Chile 65%

✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Championship · England 64%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%

Primera División · Chile 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

Primeira Liga · Portugal 61%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#10

Thai League 1 · Thailand 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#11

Primeira Liga · Portugal 59%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%

#12

Serie A · Brazil 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#13

Primera División · Chile 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#14

Ekstraklasa · Poland 58%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

#15

Serie B · Italy 56%

#16

La Liga · Spain 56%

#17

Premier Division · Ireland 56%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic 56%

#19

Serie A · Brazil 56%

#20

La Liga · Spain 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 14 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Skövde AIK vs Ostersunds FK at 74% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.