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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities — Friday 1 November 2024

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability — meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#2 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SSV Ulm 1846
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Ligue 1 · France
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Lyon
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#6 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
1 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 32%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 3 FT
Cambuur
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
3 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
2 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Championship · England
Luton
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
3 : 1 FT
Amiens
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 0 FT
Dender
✓ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
4 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#20 Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 77%

Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability ≥ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.